Can Google Trend Search Predict Stock Market? Evidence from BSE

Sakthivel Santhoshkumar, Murugesan Selvam, Balasundram Maniam, Sankaran Venkateswar

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

Behavioural Finance find that stock markets across the world can be driven by a person's emotional
reactions to business changes. In recent surveys, social media has been measured in terms of its utility in
measuring financial market movements. This paper aims to evaluate these results by Google Trends. A
quantitative method to investigate the relationship between Google search patterns and the stock indexes
has been tried in the analysis to determine the strength of Sensex. This analysis has been based on a
secondary sequence, covering the time frame from 01.01.2015 to 31.12.2020. The descriptive statistics
findings showed that the data on Google and the stock market index were normally distributed. The
correlation analysis showed that there was a positive relationship between the variables, namely, Google
search and stock index. The results of the analysis were considered to be useful to the investors and
other participants of stock market, by understanding the influence of Google Trends Search on the stock
market
Original languageAmerican English
JournalJournal of International Finance and Economics
Volume24
Issue number1
DOIs
StatePublished - 2024

Cite this